The Commodity Futures Buying and selling Fee headquarters in Washington, Dec. 23, 2022.
Ting Shen | Bloomberg | Getty Photos
A coalition of 44 state attorneys normal wrote in a letter to the Commodity Futures Buying and selling Fee on Monday that the company does not have the ability to manage sports-related occasion contracts on prediction market platforms.
The letter was despatched as the general public remark interval for the CFTC’s first proposed rule on prediction market regulation expired Monday night. The measure primarily focuses on exchanges’ sports activities choices.
“The Proposed Rule goes past the CFTC’s statutory powers, is in rigidity with the Structure, and would in any other case be arbitrary and capricious in its present kind,” wrote the coalition of states attorneys normal, led by Ohio Legal professional Basic Andy Wilson. “The CFTC ought to begin afresh with its rulemaking and make clear that sports activities bets and playing can’t be traded on [designated contract markets], however are as a substitute topic to state legislation.”
Attorneys normal representing Florida, Georgia, New Hampshire, Missouri and Texas didn’t signal the letter.
States and the CFTC have been locked in a jurisdictional battle ever since prediction market exchanges’ volumes exploded final 12 months, primarily pushed by the recognition of their sports-related contracts. The 2026 FIFA World Cup despatched platform volumes to new heights.
The CFTC — and prediction market platforms — argue that each one occasion contracts are swaps, a by-product that’s regulated by the fee. Nevertheless, states throughout the nation imagine that the sports-related contracts look an excessive amount of like sports activities betting, which is of their jurisdictional wheelhouse.

In June, the fee launched a primary draft of its proposed rule on regulating prediction markets. The draft centered closely on the controversial sports-related occasion contracts, together with describing which of them could find yourself prohibited.
It additionally crafted a definition for “gaming,” which the fee within the rule stated is one thing finished for recreation or to entertain, is ruled by guidelines and relies on measurable outcomes decided by expert exercise through the exercise. In its personal letter to the CFTC, derivatives market CME Group disagreed with this definition.
“By defining ‘gaming’ as the game itself relatively than the monetary wagering on the game, the CFTC’s definition suggests the [Commodity Exchange Act] is preempting state sports activities rules, which is a placing overreach,” wrote CME normal counsel Jonathan Marcus within the letter.
The CFTC has used federal preemption as an argument in courtroom proceedings throughout the U.S. in opposition to states to defend what it sees as its unique jurisdiction to manage prediction markets. The fee is in litigation with 9 states throughout the nation to defend that perception.
Whereas the CME is worried in regards to the federal authorities regulating sports-related occasion contracts, the trade acts as sportsbook FanDuel’s CFTC-regulated trade for its sports activities prediction markets.
In the meantime, prediction market platform Rothera — which launched in June — argued that the fee ought to undertake the “gaming” definition exactly as a result of it makes it in regards to the exercise itself.
“A definition keyed to wagering, or to ‘risking one thing of worth’ would, because the Fee acknowledges, sweep in each occasion contract,” Rothera CEO Thomas Chippas wrote in a letter to the fee. “Rothera agrees {that a} definition keyed to ‘wagering’ ought to be rejected.”
Observers of prediction markets extensively agree the Supreme Courtroom will seemingly have the ultimate say in who will get to manage sports-related occasion contracts. Till then, a flurry of different courtroom choices are deciding the standing of prediction markets’ choices.
These choices are sometimes yielding diverging outcomes. A Michigan choose in late June blocked platform Kalshi from providing sports activities bets within the state, whereas a federal choose in Minnesota on Monday briefly blocked a statewide ban on prediction markets from taking impact Saturday.
Disclosure: CNBC and Kalshi have a business relationship that features buyer acquisition and a minority funding.