Trump says Khamenei lifeless; Iran had stated ‘secure and sound’ Trump says Khamenei lifeless; Iran had stated ‘secure and sound’

Trump says Khamenei lifeless; Iran had stated ‘secure and sound’

Photographs element structural injury from Iranian airstrike in Tel Aviv

Round 21 folks have been injured after an in a single day Iranian missile strike within the Israeli metropolis of Tel Aviv, Reuters reported, citing Israeli ambulance companies. Photographs present injury and emergency response.

A fireball lights the sky following a missile strike on Tel Aviv on February 28, 2026.

John Wessels | Afp | Getty Photos

A fireplace burns after a missile strike on February 28, 2026 in central Tel Aviv, Israel.

Erik Marmor | Getty Photos Information | Getty Photos

A fireplace burns after a missile strike on February 28, 2026 in central Tel Aviv, Israel.

Erik Marmor | Getty Photos Information | Getty Photos

Emergency staff extinguish a hearth after a missile strike on February 28, 2026 in Tel Aviv, Israel.

Alexi J. Rosenfeld | Getty Photos Information | Getty Photos

Trump says Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israel strikes

Iran’s Supreme Chief Ayatollah Ali Khamenei speaks throughout a gathering in Tehran, Iran, October 23, 2024. 

Workplace of the Iranian Supreme Chief | Reuters

Trump stated Iran’s Supreme Chief Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israel strikes.

Right here is the U.S. president’s full submit on social media:

“Khamenei, one of the crucial evil folks in Historical past, is lifeless. This isn’t solely Justice for the folks of Iran, however for all Nice People, and people folks from many International locations all through the World, which were killed or mutilated by Khamenei and his gang of bloodthirsty THUGS. He was unable to keep away from our Intelligence and Extremely Refined Monitoring Programs and, working intently with Israel, there was not a factor he, or the opposite leaders which were killed together with him, may do. That is the one best probability for the Iranian folks to take again their Nation. We’re listening to that a lot of their IRGC, Navy, and different Safety and Police Forces, not wish to battle, and are in search of Immunity from us. As I stated final night time, “Now they will have Immunity, later they solely get Dying!” Hopefully, the IRGC and Police will peacefully merge with the Iranian Patriots, and work collectively as a unit to convey again the Nation to the Greatness it deserves. That course of ought to quickly be beginning in that, not solely the loss of life of Khamenei however the Nation has been, in solely sooner or later, very a lot destroyed and, even, obliterated. The heavy and pinpoint bombing, nevertheless, will proceed, uninterrupted all through the week or, so long as essential to attain our goal of PEACE THROUGHOUT THE MIDDLE EAST AND, INDEED, THE WORLD!

Thanks in your consideration to this matter.

PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP”

Khamenei, 86, has been in energy since 1989.

—Spencer Kimball

U.S. State division points ‘don’t journey’ advisories for Iran, Lebanon and Iraq

Passengers are stranded within the terminal following extended flight cancellations after the Lebanese Civil Aviation Authority closed the nation’s airspace in response to assaults launched by the U.S. and Israel in opposition to Iran, at Rafik Hariri Worldwide Airport in Beirut, Lebanon on February 28, 2026.

Houssam Shbaro | Anadolu | Getty Photos

The U.S. State Division issued issued Stage 4 journey advisories to Lebanon, Iraq and Iran and issued a worldwide safety alert to residents.

Embassy alerts are urging any U.S. residents in Iran to shelter in place “till additional discover.” They advise these in Lebanon to depart instantly on a business flight choice whereas they’re accessible.

“The U.S. Embassy strongly encourages U.S. residents in Southern Lebanon, close to the borders with Syria, in refugee settlements, and within the Dahiyeh neighborhood of Beirut to depart these areas instantly,” learn the alert.

“The business airport stays open and there may be availability on business carriers, nevertheless flights could also be cancelled at any time.”

In Iraq, the division urged residents to “train elevated warning, restrict their actions, and be ready to shelter in place” because of experiences of missiles, drones, or rockets within the nation’s airspace.

Iraqi airspace is presently closed, the report stated, however “Iraqi officers might shut and reopen airspace at quick discover.”

A Stage 4 advisory urges U.S. residents to not journey to an affected nation, or to go away as quickly as is safely doable.

—CJ Haddad

U.S. had ‘indicators’ Iran meant to make use of nuclear missiles they have been making an attempt to rebuild: senior Trump administration officers

Heavy weapons, together with ballistic missiles, air protection programs and unmanned aerial autos, are displayed throughout forty fourth anniversary of the 8-year conflict with Iraq, which is called “Holy Protection Week”, at Baharestan Sq. in Tehran, Iran on September 25, 2024.

Fatemeh Bahrami | Anadolu | Getty Photos

The U.S. had “indicators” Iran meant to make use of the nuclear missiles they have been making an attempt to rebuild in opposition to U.S. threats, senior Trump administration officers stated on a name with reporters, in line with MS NOW.

The White Home provided new particulars behind this week’s negotiations between Iran and the U.S. in Geneva, saying Iranian officers “refused at each occasion” to debate ballistic missiles with the U.S.

“We had evaluation that mainly instructed us, if we sat again and waited to get hit first, the quantity of casualties and injury could be considerably larger than if we acted in a preemptive defensive method to forestall these launches from occurring, and that’s the focus of the marketing campaign proper now,” a senior Trump administration official stated on the decision, talking on situation of anonymity.

Iran additionally allegedly denied a proposal for “free nuclear gasoline endlessly,” presumably in alternate for not enriching uranium and increasing the nation’s nuclear vitality capabilities, the officers stated.

A senior administration official additionally stated Iran agreed to not enrich uranium “for a brief time frame,” however that the U.S. as a method to purchase time working to do the alternative.

“The truth that they weren’t prepared to take free nuclear gasoline was a giant inform to us that they have been trying to purchase time whereas they’re weak and to get to a spot the place they, over time, can enrich,” an official stated. “There are a number of different areas within the negotiations that additionally confirmed that they weren’t interested by doing a deal.”

The White Home took no questions from the press on Saturday’s name.

CJ Haddad

Iranian drones strike high-rise buildings in Bahrain

Smoke rises from a burning constructing hit by an Iranian drone strike, after Israel and the U.S. launched strikes on Iran, in Seef district, Manama, Bahrain, February 28, 2026.

Hamad I Mohammed | Reuters

Iranian armed drones have been reportedly confirmed to have struck high-rise buildings in Bahrain, in line with a safety alert in another country’s U.S. embassy.

The alert follows a number of unconfirmed social media experiences showing to seize Iranian Shahed drones slamming into the facades of huge buildings close to Bahrain’s capital, Manama.

Bahrain’s Juffair area and the nation’s high-rise buildings are “not secure for U.S. personnel,” in line with the embassy.

“The U.S. embassy is conscious of unconfirmed social media experiences of U.S. residents in Bahrain being focused by Iran and its proxies,” the alert learn. “We encourage everybody to follow private safety consciousness, concentrate on their environment, and keep away from massive teams and demonstrations.”

CJ Haddad

Trump says he believes experiences of Khamenei loss of life are ‘right’: NBC Information

Iran’s Supreme Chief Ayatollah Ali Khamenei speaks throughout a gathering in Tehran, Iran, February 17, 2026.

Workplace Of The Iranian Supreme Chief | Through Reuters

Trump instructed NBC Information, “We really feel that may be a right story,” referring to media experiences citing Israeli claims that Iran’s Supreme Chief Ali Khamenei was killed in airstrikes.

Iran has denied these experiences, saying that Khamenei is “secure and sound.”

Trump stated “most” of Iran’s senior management is “gone,” NBC reported.

“The those who make all the choices, most of them are gone,” the president stated.

Trump stated “a considerable amount of management” was killed.

“I do not imply like two folks,” he instructed the outlet.

—Dan Mangan

White Home shares pictures of Trump, Vance monitoring assault

The White Home shared photos of Trump and his nationwide safety crew, monitoring the assault on Iran from the president’s residence in Palm Seashore, Florida.

The White Home’s official X account, in a single submit, confirmed Trump speaking to Susie Wiles, his chief of employees, as they stored tabs on the mission.

The White Home additionally shared a picture of Vice President JD Vance and Cupboard secretaries, monitoring the assault from the State of affairs Room.

Pages of paperwork on the pictures appeared to have been blurred.

— Dan Mangan

United Airways extends Tel Aviv, Dubai cancellations

United Airways is extending its suspension of service to Dubai and Tel Aviv because the U.S. service with essentially the most worldwide publicity assesses safety dangers and airspace closures. Tel Aviv flights are among the many most worthwhile for United.

Crews have left Tel Aviv, however plans are presently being organized to take away flight crews from Dubai, a United spokesman stated.

United stated its Tel Aviv service, which incorporates flights from Newark Liberty Worldwide Airport, Chicago O’Hare Worldwide Airport, and Washington Dulles Worldwide Airport, is canceled by way of subsequent Friday. Dubai flights, which depart from Newark, are canceled by way of a minimum of Wednesday.

Leslie Josephs

How the assault on Iran may impression the worldwide oil market and financial system

The joint U.S. and Israeli assault on OPEC member Iran dangers a significant oil provide disruption within the Center East that, in a worst-case situation, may set off a international financial recession.

The oil market has lengthy shrugged off the danger of an oil provide disruption within the Center East. Merchants are underestimating the risk that Iranian retaliation to the U.S. assault poses to the market, stated Bob McNally, a former White Home vitality advisor to former President George W. Bush.

Iran may attempt to scare President Donald Trump by making the Strait of Hormuz unsafe for business site visitors, which may spike oil costs above $100 per barrel, McNally stated. 

“A protracted closure of the Strait of Hormuz is a assured international recession,” McNally stated.

— Spencer Kimball

Israel says Iranian supreme chief Khamenei killed; Iran says he is alive

Iran’s Supreme Chief Ayatollah Ali Khamenei speaks in a televised message, after the ceasefire between Iran and Israel, in Tehran, Iran, June 26, 2025.

Workplace Of The Iranian Supreme Le | Through Reuters

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu instructed that Iran’s supreme chief, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has been killed, after Israel and the U.S. carried out airstrikes in Iran.

Iran’s Overseas Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei instructed MSNOW that each Khamenei and Iran President Masoud Pezeshkian are “secure and sound.”

CNBC has not independently verified Khamenei’s situation.

“This morning, with a stunning hit, a blow, we hit out on the tyrant Khamenei,” Netanyahu stated at a press convention on Saturday. “For 3 a long time, he has been sending terror with proxies and has made his folks depressing and proceed speaking concerning the extermination of the state of Israel. This plan and program not exists. This tyrant not exists.”

Khamanei is the nation’s second supreme chief, having dominated since 1989.

— Jordan Novet

Trump says there are ‘off ramps’ for army motion in opposition to Iran: Axios

United States President Donald Trump speaks to the press earlier than his departs the White Home en route Corpus Christi, Texas on Feb. 27, 2026, in Washington DC.

Celal Gunes | Anadolu | Getty Photos

Trump instructed Axios he had a number of “off ramps” for Operation Epic Fury.

“I can go lengthy and take over the entire thing, or finish it in two or three days and inform the Iranians: ‘See you once more in a number of years if you happen to begin rebuilding [your nuclear and missile programs,” Trump told the news outlet during a brief phone interview.

“In any case, it will take them several years to recover from this attack,” he said.

Trump told Axios he decided to attack Iran after that nation’s ruling regime “pulled back” from a possible deal with the U.S. to agree to reduce its nuclear program.

The president also cited Iran’s history of conducting or backing attacks around the world, noting that he had asked government officials to compile a list of such Iranian-linked actions in the past 25 years.

“I saw that every month they did something bad, blew something up or killed someone,” he told Axios.

— Dan Mangan

Pentagon Pizza Index called it — again

Overhead view of woman’s hand getting a slice of freshly made pizza.

D3sign | Moment | Getty Images

The Pentagon Pizza Index tracks spikes in activity at pizza restaurants in Arlington, Virginia, located near the Pentagon. An informal, soft data source in use for decades, the index operates on the theory that a surge in food orders can signal that government officials are working around the clock ahead of a major geopolitical event.  

The Pentagon Pizza Index reported “an extreme spike” in pizza activity Friday afternoon, with publicly accessible data for the nearby Domino’s, Pizzato and Extreme Pizza restaurants showing activity jumps of 326%, 208%, and 127%, respectively.

The pizza metric has accurately called the start of other major military actions or geopolitical events, including last summer’s Operation Midnight Hammer in which the U.S. carried out strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, and early January’s Operation Absolute Resolve, which extracted former President Nicolas Maduro from Venezuela.

The theory dates back at least to Aug. 1, 1990, when, according to reports, a local Domino’s franchisee reported that the CIA had ordered a record amount of pizza — just before Iraq invaded Kuwait, kicking off the Gulf War.

The Pentagon has repeatedly downplayed the Pizza Index and its accuracy. But Israel’s Air Force reportedly issued a directive earlier this week asking soldiers not to order food to the Kirya military headquarters in Tel Aviv, according to Ynet.

— Morgan Brennan

Trump speaks with Middle East leaders, NATO Secretary General

Trump has spoken with world leaders including those of Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, U.K., Kuwait and Turkey, White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said via posts on X following U.S. strikes across Iran Saturday morning.

Trump additionally spoke with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte.

CJ Haddad

Safety of tourism hub Dubai tested by regional crisis

Smoke rises over a hotel damaged in Dubai’s famed Palm Jumeirah, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, February 28, 2026 in this screen capture from video.

Video Obtained By Reuters | Via Reuters

The usually safe and glamorous tourism hub of Dubai was hit by falling debris this weekend. The United Arab Emirates said it intercepted Iranian missiles that were raining down across the country after the U.S. and Israel launched a military operation in Iran on Saturday.

Tourists are now facing a travel nightmare as the country closed its airspace, and hundreds of flights to and from Dubai and Abu Dhabi have been cancelled.

CNBC’s team in the UAE confirmed seeing missiles across the sky in Dubai and Abu Dhabi as fires were reported in multiple locations. CNBC has not been able to verify the number of casualties or the origins of the debris.

The country’s public prosecution originally “warned citizens against publishing, circulating rumours, false or unverified news” as videos of a fire on Dubai’s Fairmont Hotel on the Palm were widely distributed among residents. Dubai’s Media Office later confirmed the “incident.”

The UAE warned residents and citizens against “excessive stockpiling,” and “affirmed the resilience and stability of markets across the United Arab Emirates,” according to a statement from the Ministry of Economy.

— Emma Graham

Crypto’s Iran shock sell-off offers early warning for global markets

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Bitcoin sold off right after the Iran strikes.

Crypto sold off sharply right after the U.S. strikes on Iran, with bitcoin falling to about $63,000 and roughly $130 billion wiped from the broader market before prices began to recover. The decline was exacerbated by leverage: Bitcoin derivatives sell volume surged as traders rushed to cut risk, accelerating the move lower. The episode reinforced that digital assets continue to trade more like high-beta risk assets than geopolitical hedges.

The key driver now is oil. If the conflict begins to threaten flows through the Strait of Hormuz, analysts expect markets to price in higher energy costs, firmer inflation, and tighter financial conditions — an increasingly difficult backdrop for risk assets.

Unlike last month, when headlines out of Venezuela buoyed crypto on expectations of additional oil supply, traders are now focused on disruption risk. Because crypto markets trade through the weekend, they are often the first venue where shifts in sentiment become visible.

That dynamic is extending beyond bitcoin. On crypto-native venues such as Hyperliquid, traders used oil, gold, silver, and equity-linked perpetual contracts to position around the shock. Commodity-linked contracts moved higher, while U.S. equity-linked indexes traded lower.

Meanwhile, tokenized gold outperformed major cryptocurrencies, underscoring that in moments of geopolitical stress, bitcoin still behaves more like a risk asset than a true safe haven.

— MacKenzie Sigalos

Analysis: U.S. could benefit from any disruption in Middle East natural gas flow

From industry sources, it is clear that if there is any disruption to liquefied natural gas, or LNG, shipments through the Strait of Hormuz or the Arabian Gulf, U.S. LNG suppliers and shippers can help mitigate it.

While we know Iran cannot “close” the Strait, ships from natural gas suppliers Qatar and the United Arab Emirates could either avoid the area, or insurance considerations could slow or halt shipments for a short time.

That said, any disruption of global LNG flows from this region could increase demand for U.S.-based natural gas. Watch stocks such as Cheniere Energy, Venture Global, and Shell.

Brian Sullivan

Death toll rises to more than 200 across Iran, state TV reports

Black smoke rises from a destroyed building at a school where, as the state media reports, several people were killed in an Israeli airstrike, following strikes by the United States and Israel against Iran, in Minab, Iran in this screengrab obtained from a social media video released on February 28, 2026.

Reuters

More than 200 people have been killed across Iran following strikes by the U.S. and Israel, the Associated Press reported, citing Iranian state TV.

A spokesperson for Iran’s Red Crescent said 747 people are injured, with strikes hitting 24 of Iran’s 31 provinces.

It is unclear how many of the casualties, if any, are civilian.

The U.S. military reported no American casualties and “minimal damage” so far from “hundreds of Iranian missile and drone attacks.”

CJ Haddad

Photos depict aftermath of U.S. and Israeli airstrikes across Tehran

News agencies have circulated photographs of the aftermath of U.S. and Israeli airstrikes in Iran’s capital city.

A view shows the aftermath of an Israel and the U.S. strike on a building in Tehran, Iran, February 28, 2026.

Amir Kholousi/isna/wana | Via Reuters

Remains of a car in the aftermath of an Israel and the U.S. strike on a building in Tehran, Iran, February 28, 2026.

Amir Kholousi/isna/wana | Via Reuters

A view shows the aftermath of an Israel and the U.S. strike on a building in Tehran, Iran, February 28, 2026.

Amir Kholousi/isna/wana | Via Reuters

Critics flag Trump’s 2013 tweet on Obama attacking Iran

There’s always a tweet — or tweets.

Critics of Trump’s attack on Iran resurfaced a post he wrote in 2013 on X — then known as Twitter — saying, “Remember, I predicted a long time ago that President Obama will attack Iran because of his inability to negotiate properly–not skilled!”

Trump in 2011 and 2012 had, in fact, predicted that former President Barack Obama would attack Iran to win re-election in 2012.

“Now that Obama’s poll numbers are in a tailspin, watch for him to launch a strike in Libya or Iran,” Trump wrote on Oct. 9, 2012, a month before the presidential election. “He is desperate.”

Obama did not attack Iran.

Obama that November beat Republican nominee Mitt Romney by 51.1% of the popular vote to 47.2%, and by a margin of 332 votes to 206 votes in the Electoral College, the body that actually selects a president.

Sen. Brian Schatz, D-Hawaii, retweeted a March 19, 2023, post on X by Vice President JD Vance, who at the time was a U.S. senator from Ohio.

“Twenty years ago we invaded Iraq,” Vance wrote in that post. “The war killed many innocent Iraqis and Americans. It destroyed the oldest Christian populations in the world. It cost over $1 trillion, and turned Iraq into a satellite of Iran. It was an unforced disaster, and I pray that we learn its lessons.”

“We are still living in the ideological cage created by that projection,” Vance wrote in a thread of from that post, which referred to neconservatives who had supported the U.S. war against Iraq. “Our foreign policy is still held hostage by men so desperate to avoid looking in the mirror that they will support the next war, and then the next one, until their country is hollowed out.”

In another old tweet that drew attention, White House Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller on Nov. 1, 2024 wrote: “To anyone still gullible enough to fall for scummy media hoaxes: Trump said warmongering neocons love sending your kids to die for wars they would never fight themselves.”

“Liz Cheney is Kamala’s top advisor. Liz wants to invade the whole Middle East. Kamala = WWIII. Trump = Peace,” Miller wrote in that post, referencing former Rep. Liz Cheney, R-Wyo., four days before the election in which Trump defeated then-Vice President Kamala Harris.

—Dan Mangan

Airlines suspend thousands of Middle East flights following Iran attacks

Passengers are stranded in the terminal following prolonged flight cancellations after the Lebanese Civil Aviation Authority closed the country’s airspace in response to attacks launched by US and Israel against Iran, at Rafik Hariri International Airport in Beirut, Lebanon on February 28, 2026.

Anadolu | Anadolu | Getty Images

Airlines were forced to cancel thousands of flights to Middle East destinations including Tel Aviv, Doha, Dubai after airspace was closed following the attacks.

At least 14,000 departure and arrival flights have been affected, according to estimates from MS NOW.

Etihad Airways suspended all flights departing or flying into Abu Dhabi until Sunday. The company said it would contact affected passengers directly and will support those customers with rebooking and hotels “where necessary.”

“The situation remains fluid and further adjustments may be required. Etihad continues to work in close coordination with the relevant authorities and will resume normal operations as soon as conditions permit,” the company said. “The safety of Etihad’s guests and staff is our highest priority. We apologise for the inconvenience and appreciate our guests’ understanding.”

Qatar Airways, Emirates Airlines, Air India, Lufthansa Group, United Airlines, Delta Air Lines and American Airlines are among more names that have halted all or most of its service in the region, though for how long varies between the carriers.

Lufthansa Group said it’s suspended flights to Israel, Lebanon, Jordan, Iraq and Tehran until March 7, while Delta’s Tel Aviv service will be canceled through at least Sunday.

Some flights to Doha and Dubai were rerouted back to their origin airports, or diverted to airports in Europe due to the security concerns.

Explosions heard, flights canceled as U.S. and Israel strike Iran

—CJ Haddad and Leslie Josephs

Strait of Hormuz key for liquefied natural gas

FILE PHOTO: An aerial view of the Iranian shores and the island of Qeshm in the strait of Hormuz, December 10, 2023.

Nicolas Economou | Reuters

The Strait of Hormuz isn’t only critical for oil — it’s also a key waterway for flows of liquefied natural gas.

About 20% of global LNG passes through the narrow waterway, according to the Energy Information Administration. While some of the oil that passes through the Strait can be diverted, it’s more complex for LNG. The waterway is the sole export route for Qatar and the UAE, which together make up about one fifth of global supply. More than half of the LNG passing through the Strait heads to China, India and South Korea, according to the EIA.

—Pippa Stevens

‘This war will have a home front in the United States,’ ex-DHS deputy sec. says

U.S. Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem speaks during a press briefing on election security and support for the SAVE Act at a Homeland Security Investigations Field Office in Scottsdale, Arizona, U.S. Feb. 13, 2026.

Rebecca Noble | Reuters

A former top Department of Homeland Security official said the attack on Iran “almost certainly will lead to attempts to target Trump and other top US officials,” and test the resources of DHS, whose funding appropriation remains blocked by congressional Democrats.

“This war will have a home front in the United States,” wrote Tom Warrick, a former DHS deputy assistant secretary for counterterrorism policy, in a post on X from the Atlantic Council, where he is a nonresident senior fellow. Warrick was a government official during both Democratic and Republican administrations.

“The Secret Service, the Federal Bureau of Investigation, and the US Capitol Police will all be tested in the coming weeks and can afford zero failures,” Warrick wrote.

“Iran will try every cyber trick it can mount, testing the Department of Homeland Security, the private sector, and US cyber defenses,” he wrote. “Iran tried in the past, unsuccessfully, to meddle in US elections, and would almost certainly fail to have any impact this time.”

The attack comes amid an ongoing partial government shutdown that began after Democrats blocked appropriations for DHS over concerns with its immigration enforcement tactics.

It is not immediately clear how the Iran strikes will influence ongoing negotiations over DHS funding, which lapsed Feb. 14.

But congressional Democrats hammered the White House for neglecting to seek congressional authorization before taking military action. That criticism could complicate the talks about resuming DHS funding.

And it could exacerbate already heightened national security concerns.

Some DHS subagencies like the Transportation Security Administration, Coast Guard and Federal Emergency Management Agency, could be forced to work without pay if the shutdown continues.

“Shutdowns have real world consequences, not just for the men and women of DHS and their families who go without a paycheck, but it endangers our national security,” DHS Secretary Kristi Noem said in a statement earlier this week.

Dan Mangan and Justin Papp

Full blockade of the Strait of Hormuz unlikely, Kpler says

TankerTracker.com map showing ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz on Feb. 28th, 2026.

Source: TankerTraffic.com

All energy traders are watching the Strait of Hormuz given about 20 million barrels per day of oil flows through the narrow waterway daily, but Kpler doesn’t expect a full, prolonged blockade.

Iran has never closed the Strait before — although it has been threatened – and analysts say it may not even be possible for a full-scale closure. But Iran can still disrupt vessel traffic in the waterway, all of which will drive up oil prices as things like shipping insurance costs rise.

“Temporary slowdowns, rerouting, or heightened maritime security checks are more plausible scenarios,” analysts at Kpler said in a note to clients. “A sustained blockade would significantly impact regional producers’ own export revenues, creating strong economic disincentives. Therefore, volatility risk is elevated, but structural and prolonged supply loss remains lower probability,” the firm added.

Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, hit its highest level since July on Friday amid rising tensions between the U.S. and Iran.

—Pippa Stevens

Trump monitored attack from Mar-a-Lago

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt speaks during a news briefing in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room of the White House on February 10, 2026 in Washington, DC.

Anna Moneymaker | etty Images

Trump monitored the attack overnight with members of his national security team from his residence at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Fla., White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said in a post on X.

“The President spoke with [Israeli] Prime Minister [Benjamin] Netanyahu by telephone. Previous to the assaults, Secretary [of State Marco] Rubio referred to as all members of the gang of eight to offer congressional notification, and he was capable of attain and temporary seven of the eight members,” Leavitt wrote.

“The President and his nationwide safety crew will proceed to intently monitor the state of affairs all through the day,” she stated.

—Dan Mangan

Abu Dhabi residents instructed to hunt shelter in safe buildings

UAE authorities textual content to residents to stay indoors in secure areas after Iran launched a missile assault on Dubai on Feb. twenty eighth, 2026 in response to U.S./Israel assaults on Iran.

Abu Dhabi residents obtained an emergency alert on their telephones telling them to “search speedy shelter within the closest safe constructing, and to steer away from home windows, doorways and open areas.”

The alert cited the “present state of affairs” there, with “potential missile threats.”

Staff working at a minimum of one U.S. firm in Dubai, which is a sister emirate of Abu Dhabi, have been instructed to work on-line from house for now.

Colleges are taking precautionary measures and are prone to transfer to on-line studying because the state of affairs evolves.

The United Arab Emirates individually despatched out an alert telling residents to stay indoors and to await additional directions.

—Dan Mangan

Fairmont Lodge in Dubai on hearth

CNBC: Dubai: Visuals of fireplace and smoke from the Fairmont Lodge on Dubai’s Palm Avenue.

CNBC | TV18 Information

The Fairmont Lodge on Palm Avenue in Dubai was on hearth, CNBC-TV18 reported.

It isn’t clear what brought about the blaze on the Fairmont.

“Dubai authorities affirm that an incident occurred in a constructing within the Palm Jumeirah space,” Dubai’s media workplace stated in a press release.

“Emergency response groups have been deployed instantly and the positioning has been secured. Dubai Civil Defence has confirmed that the ensuing hearth is now below management,” the workplace stated.

“4 people sustained accidents and have been transferred to medical amenities. The protection and wellbeing of residents and guests stay the best precedence. Authorities proceed to take all essential measures to safeguard the general public. The general public is urged to stay calm, rely solely on verified data from official sources, and chorus from circulating movies or photos on social media. Additional updates will probably be supplied as they turn into accessible.”

The 5-star resort is widespread with British vacationers.

— Dan Mangan

Evaluation: Oil costs unlikely to have sustained soar with out direct assaults on amenities

Why oil markets care about Iran

The oil market is nicely equipped, so until we see a strike on Iran’s Kharg Island export facility, it’s unlikely there’s a sustained soar in oil costs

For context, keep in mind that forward of the June strikes on Iran, oil surged about $10 per barrel however instantly retreated when it turned clear oil amenities weren’t focused. Sources within the oil markets and in Washington inform me Trump doesn’t wish to threat larger oil and gasoline costs by immediately focusing on Iranian oil. 

The main target proper now’s on OPEC’s deliberate Sunday “group of eight” assembly and whether or not the group will search to calm any unease by including extra barrels to the oil market or, extra doubtless, assuring the market that it stands prepared to boost manufacturing or quotas if there may be any significant disruption in provide.

—Brian Sullivan

Evaluation: Iran cannot ‘shut’ Strait of Hormuz, however could make it pricey

A map from MarineTraffic.com reveals tanker transport site visitors across the Center East as U.S. and Israel assault Iran. (Oil and fuel tanker site visitors in purple.)

Supply: MarineTraffic.com by Kpler

Iran might threaten to ‘shut’ the very important Strait of Hormuz, however it’s not Iran’s choice to “shut” the waterway.

Although Iran can mine, assault or in any other case harass ships, it is very important keep in mind that Iran doesn’t personal or management the Strait. The U.S. Navy, together with Saudi and UAE property, will work laborious to make sure ships can safely transit the area.

Transport prices have already gone up and can proceed to go larger as tensions rise, so Iran will reach a minimum of making it costlier and harmful to transit by way of the Strait.

—Brian Sullivan

World leaders condemn Iranian regime, urge warning as they react to U.S. strikes

PM Starmer says UK had no role in Iran attacks, condemns Iranian regime 'utterly abhorrent'

World leaders reacted to U.S. and Israeli strikes in Iran Saturday, with a number of emphasizing condemning the Iranian regime whereas urging restraint within the unprovoked assault.

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer stated the U.Ok. had “no position” within the strikes, however referred to as the Iranian regime “completely abhorrent” in a video tackle at 10 Downing Avenue.

“They’ve murdered hundreds of their very own folks, brutally crushed dissent, and sought to destabilize the area,” Starmer stated. “So, it’s clear, they have to by no means be allowed to develop a nuclear weapon. That is still the first goal of the UK and our allies, together with the U.S..”

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy emphasised Russia’s army hyperlinks to the Iranian regime in a Saturday morning X submit because the conflict between Russia and Ukraine entered its fifth 12 months earlier this week.

“Though Ukrainians by no means threatened Iran, the Iranian regime selected to turn into Putin’s confederate and equipped him with ‘shahed’ drones, and never solely the drones themselves, but in addition the applied sciences to supply them,” he wrote.

“Different nations have additionally suffered from Iranian-backed terror. Subsequently, it’s honest to offer the Iranian folks an opportunity to rid themselves of a terrorist regime and to ensure safety for all nations which have suffered from terror originating in Iran.”

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney additionally provided help to the USA for “appearing to stop Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon and to stop its regime from additional threatening worldwide peace and safety.”

“Regardless of diplomatic efforts, Iran has neither totally dismantled its nuclear program, halted all enrichment actions, nor ended its help for regional terrorist proxy teams. Canada stands with the Iranian folks of their lengthy and brave wrestle in opposition to Iran’s oppressive regime.”

—CJ Haddad

UN Safety Council will maintain emergency assembly at 4 p.m. ET

Common view of the Safety Council assembly on the Center East at United Nations headquarters in New York on February 18, 2026.

Charly Triballeau | Afp | Getty Photos

The United Nations Safety Council stated it should collect for an emergency assembly to debate the assaults in Iran at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday.

“I condemn right this moment’s army escalation within the Center East,” UN Secretary Common António Guterres stated in a assertion. “Using drive by the USA and Israel in opposition to Iran, and the following retaliation by Iran throughout the area, undermine worldwide peace and safety.”

Guterres referred to as for concerned events to restart negotiations.

President Trump criticized the UN in a speech earlier than its Common Meeting in September, and he has lower U.S. funding for the group.

—Jordan Novet

Schumer requires Congress to ‘shortly’ reconvene after Iran strike

Senate Democratic Chief Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) speaks to reporters throughout a press convention following Senate votes concerning a dispute over immigration enforcement forward of a looming partial authorities shutdown, on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C., U.S., Jan. 30, 2026.

Elizabeth Frantz | Reuters

Senate Minority Chief Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., in a press release on Saturday stated the “Senate ought to shortly return to session and reassert its constitutional responsibility by passing our decision to implement the Conflict Powers Act.”

The Senate is due again late Monday. Even earlier than Saturday’s operation, Sen. Tim Kaine, D-Va., had deliberate to drive a conflict powers decision vote within the coming week, although actual timing is unknown. A conflict powers decision in Congress could be meant to restrict Trump’s authority to declare conflict with out congressional approval.

Schumer in his assertion additionally referred to as for an “speedy all senators categorised briefing” and “public testimony.”

“The administration has not supplied Congress and the American folks with vital particulars concerning the scope and immediacy of the risk,” Schumer stated. “Confronting Iran’s malign regional actions, nuclear ambitions, and harsh oppression of the Iranian folks calls for American power, resolve, regional coordination, and strategic readability. Sadly, President Trump’s fitful cycles of lashing out and risking wider battle will not be a viable technique.”

—Justin Papp

Khanna calls on Congress to take up Iran conflict powers decision on Monday

Home Oversight and Authorities Reform Committee member Rep. Ro Khanna (D-Calif.) heads to a closed-door, distant deposition from convicted baby intercourse offender Ghislaine Maxwell within the Rayburn Home Workplace Constructing on Capitol Hill on Feb. 9, 2026 in Washington, DC.

Chip Somodevilla | Getty Photos

Rep. Ro Khanna, D-Calif., who’s main a conflict powers decision to limit Trump‘s army actions in Iran, referred to as on Congress to reconvene on Monday — sooner than scheduled for subsequent week — to take up his measure.

“Trump says his purpose is to topple the Iranian regime, however the American individuals are uninterested in regime-change wars that value us billions of {dollars} and threat our lives. we do not wish to be at conflict with a rustic of 90 million folks within the Center East,” Khanna stated in a video posted to X on Saturday.

Home Minority Chief Hakeem Jeffries on Thursday introduced he would compel a vote on the conflict powers decision introduced by Khanna and Rep. Thomas Massie, R-Ky. Massie is a Republican who incessantly clashes with Trump.

In a press release Saturday, Jeffries reiterated that dedication however didn’t present timing.

The Home isn’t due again in session till Wednesday.

The measure introduced by Khanna and Massie would compel the administration to hunt congressional approval earlier than partaking in any additional exercise in Iran. 

“I’m against this Conflict. This isn’t “America First.” When Congress reconvenes, I’ll work with @RepRoKhanna to drive a Congressional vote on conflict with Iran,” Massie posted to X on Saturday. “The Structure requires a vote, and your Consultant must be on document as opposing or supporting this conflict.”

Justin Papp

Iran strikes may ship buyers into security performs

A plume of smoke rises following a reported explosion in Tehran on February 28, 2026.

Atta Kenare | Afp | Getty Photos

Market watchers are paying shut consideration to the growing information in Iran, and a few specialists say coordinated strikes from the U.S. and Israel may carry heavier market penalties than more moderen geopolitical conflicts.

Markets have been accustomed to absorbing latest geopolitical and financial shocks, together with Trump’s announcement of a hike in U.S. tariffs on all imports to fifteen%, in addition to the administration’s latest seize of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in an identical weekend army motion.

“This has undoubtedly greater ramifications than Venezuela,” stated Florian Weidinger, CIO at Santa Lucia Asset Administration. 

“Venezuela was … solely actually related for individuals who care about that individual heavy crude,” Weidinger instructed CNBC. The nation’s heavy, bitter crude could be difficult to extract.

“That is why it is a greater threat. You’d anticipate oil to tick up a bit extra violently subsequent week because of that,” he added.

About 13 million barrels per day of crude oil transited the Strait of Hormuz in 2025, roughly 31% of world seaborne crude flows, in line with information from market intelligence agency Kpler.

In June, when Israel struck Iranian nuclear websites, equities bought off sharply on the open, then recovered as soon as it turned clear the strait was not disrupted.

“That’s the sample markets will reference on Monday,” stated Kenneth Goh, director of personal wealth administration at UOB Kay Hian in Singapore. He including that there could possibly be a flight to security with a strengthening of the U.S. greenback, Japanese yen, and a rush into gold. 

Learn CNBC’s full article right here.

— Lee Ying Shan

Trump calls Iran the “No. One state sponsor of terror” in early morning video

An NBC Information dwell feed airs a clip from U.S. President Donald Trump’s Reality Social video announcement within the White Home James S. Brady Press Briefing Room on February 28, 2026 in Washington, DC.

Anna Moneymaker | Getty Photos Information | Getty Photos

Trump, in a 2:30 a.m. ET video posted to his official Reality Social account, aired his rationale for ordering an assault on Iran.

The video message, during which Trump spoke from behind a podium sporting a white hat saying “USA,” comes after explosions have been heard in a number of cities within the Center East and Israel launched a daylight assault on Iran’s capital.

“Our goal is to defend the American folks by eliminating imminent threats from the Iranian regime, a vicious group of very laborious, horrible folks,” Trump stated within the video message.

The president referred to as the Iranian regime the “no. one state sponsor of terror,” referring to allegations of the regime’s hyperlinks to different terrorist assaults, together with Hamas’ Oct. 7, 2023 assault in Israel.

Trump additionally emphasised Iran’s nuclear capabilities, saying the regime can by no means have a nuclear weapon. Negotiations on Iran’s program have been ongoing between officers in Geneva, Switzerland, this week.

“They rejected each alternative to surrender their nuclear ambitions, and we will not take it anymore. As an alternative, they tried to rebuild their nuclear program and to proceed growing long-range missiles that may now threaten our excellent mates and allies in Europe, our troops stationed abroad, and will quickly attain the American homeland.”

—CJ Haddad

Former Trump ally Marjorie Taylor Greene blasts Iran assault

U.S. Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA) speaks, at a marketing campaign occasion for Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump, on the Johnny Mercer Theatre Civic Heart in Savannah, Georgia, U.S. September 24, 2024. 

Megan Varner | Reuters

Former Georgia Republican Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, who had a public falling-out with Trump earlier than leaving workplace halfway by way of her time period, in a submit to X on Saturday questioned the president’s dedication to the “America first” messaging that was central to his reelection marketing campaign.

“We stated ‘No Extra Overseas Wars, No Extra Regime Change!’ We stated it on rally stage after rally stage, speech after speech. Trump, [Vice President JD] Vance, mainly all the admin campaigned on it and promised to place America FIRST and Make America Nice Once more,” Greene wrote.

Greene was a staunch ally of Trump for many of her political profession. However the pair clashed over the Trump administration’s dealing with of information associated to the disgraced intercourse offender Jeffrey Epstein and international coverage.

Greene introduced she would resign in November and left workplace in early January.

“Now, America goes to be drive fed and fuel lighted all of the ‘noble’ causes the American ‘Peace’ President and Professional-Peace administration needed to go to conflict as soon as once more this 12 months, after being in energy for less than a 12 months. Head-spinning, however maga,” Greene wrote.

—Justin Papp

Home Speaker Johnson: ‘Iran is going through the extreme penalties of its evil actions’

U.S. Home Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) holds a press convention on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C., U.S., Feb. 3, 2026.

Annabelle Gordon | Reuters

Home Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., on Saturday stated “Iran is going through the extreme penalties of its evil actions.”

President Trump and the Administration have made each effort to pursue peaceable and diplomatic options in response to the Iranian regime‘s sustained nuclear ambitions and improvement, terrorism, and the homicide of People — and even their very own folks,” Johnson posted to X.

Johnson famous in his submit that Secretary of State Marco Rubio was on the Hill this week to temporary Home and Senate leaders on the evolving state of affairs in Iran.

In a press release on Saturday, Home Minority Chief Hakeem Jeffries referred to as Iran a “dangerous actor” that “have to be aggressively confronted for its human rights violations, nuclear ambitions, help of terrorism and the risk it poses to our allies like Israel and Jordan within the area.” However, like different Democrats, he questioned the constitutionality of launching such an assault with out Congress’ blessing.

“The framers of the USA Structure gave Congress the only energy to declare conflict because the department of presidency closest to the American folks,” Jeffries stated.

“Donald Trump failed to hunt Congressional authorization previous to placing Iran. As an alternative, the President’s choice to desert diplomacy and launch an enormous army assault has left American troops susceptible to Iran’s retaliatory actions,” Jeffries continued.

—Justin Papp

GOP, Democratic Sen. John Fetterman cheer Trump’s Iran assault

U.S. Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA) speaks with reporters within the halls of the US Capitol on February 10, 2026 in Washington, DC.

Michael M. Santiago | Getty Photos Information | Getty Photos

Whereas most Democrats who’ve weighed in are questioning the constitutionality of Trump’s assault on Iran, Sen. John Fetterman, D-Pa., joined Republicans in cheering it.

“Operation Epic Fury. President Trump has been prepared to do what’s proper and essential to supply actual peace within the area. God bless the United States, our nice army, and Israel,” Fetterman, usually a dissenting voice inside the Democratic caucus, posted to X.

Sen. Tom Cotton, R-Ark, a member of the Senate Armed Companies Committee, posted on X that “the butcher’s invoice has lastly come due for the ayatollahs,” referring to the Supreme Chief of Iran.

“A nuclear-weapons program. 1000’s of missiles. State sponsorship of terror. Iran has waged conflict in opposition to the U.S. for 47 years: the hostage disaster, the Beirut Marine barracks, Khobar Towers, roadside bombs in Iraq and Afghanistan that killed or maimed hundreds of American troopers, the tried assassination of President Trump,” Cotton wrote.

Senate Majority Chief John Thune, R-S.D., in a press release on Saturday thanked Secretary of State Marco Rubio “for offering updates on these points all through the week” and stated he appeared ahead to the administration briefing all senators on the assault.

“Regardless of the dogged efforts of the president and his administration, the Iranian regime has refused the diplomatic off-ramps that may peacefully resolve these nationwide safety considerations. I commend President Trump for taking motion to thwart these threats,” Thune stated.

Justin Papp

Trump urges Iranians to ‘take over your authorities’ in early morning tackle

A display screen seize from a video launched on U.S. President Donald Trump’s Reality Social account reveals Donald Trump making statements concerning fight operations on Iran on February 28, 2026 in Pal Seashore, Florida, United States.

Anadolu | Anadolu | Getty Photos

President Trump urged Iranians to “take over your authorities” in an eight-minute tackle following U.S. and Israeli fight operations within the area.

“To the good, proud folks of Iran, I say tonight that the hour of your freedom is at hand,” he stated, in a video posted to the White Home’s social media early Saturday morning.

“Keep sheltered, do not go away your house, it’s extremely harmful outdoors, bombs will probably be dropping in every single place. After we are completed, take over your authorities. It is going to be yours to take. It will most likely be your solely probability for generations.”

CJ Haddad

Airways divert flights from Center East after army strikes

FlightRadar24 Air site visitors throughout the center East on Feb. twenty eighth, 2026.

Supply: Flightradar24

Emirates, Lufthansa, Qatar Airways, United Airways and others suspended flights to Center East locations because of airspace closures and the assaults on Iran.

Some flights have been pressured to return to their origin airports or diverted, together with a United flight from Newark to Tel Aviv that landed in Athens.

Airways have been periodically halting flights to the area for years as conflicts and related safety considerations come up. Airspace closures there usually drive carriers to take longer routes to skirt the world, which requires them to make use of extra gasoline.

Leslie Josephs

Democrats cry foul after Trump strikes Iran with out congressional approval

U.S. Senator Tim Kaine (D-Va.) questions Zalmay Khalilzad, particular envoy for Afghanistan Reconciliation, throughout a Senate Overseas Relations Committee listening to on Capitol Hill in Washington, April 27, 2021.

Susan Walsh | Pool | Reuters

Democrats referred to as for a briefing and questioned the constitutionality of one other army motion with out congressional approval.

“The Structure is obvious: the choice to take this nation to conflict rests with Congress, and launching large-scale army operations — significantly within the absence of an imminent risk to the USA — raises severe authorized and constitutional considerations,” Sen. Mark Warner, D-Va., rating member on the Senate Choose Committee on Intelligence, stated in a press release. 

“Congress have to be totally briefed, and the administration should come ahead with a transparent authorized justification, an outlined finish state, and a plan that avoids dragging the USA into yet one more pricey and pointless conflict,” Warner stated.

Each the Home and the Senate have been anticipated to take up conflict powers resolutions within the coming week, which may have restricted Trump’s skill to have interaction militarily in Iran. The problem doesn’t break cleanly alongside partisan strains, and passage in both chamber was unsure.

Trump drew comparable complaints from Democrats in early January after a focused operation to take away Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, about which lawmakers stated they weren’t briefed beforehand.

The Structure grants Congress main authority to declare conflict. The Conflict Powers Decision, handed in 1973 in response to the Vietnam Conflict, limits the president’s skill to take army motion unilaterally and requires the president to seek the advice of with Congress when troops are deployed.

“For months, I’ve raised hell about the truth that the American folks need decrease costs, no more conflict —particularly wars that are not approved by Congress, as required by the Structure, and haven’t got a transparent goal,” Sen. Tim Kaine, D-Va., who launched an Iran conflict powers decision, stated in a press release. “These strikes are a colossal mistake, and I pray they don’t value our little kids in uniform and at embassies all through the area their lives.”

— Justin Papp

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